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“Time is on our side and the waiting period for this response may be prolonged,” Ali Mohammad Naeini was quoted as saying on Tuesday by state media.
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Israel took responsibility for the killing of Shukr, but has not confirmed or denied its role in Haniyeh’s death.
Iran and its regional allies – Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza – blamed Israel for both killings and promised to retaliate, spurring weeks of high-wire diplomacy to prevent the breakout of a full-scale regional war.
But the comments from the IRGC spokesman, three weeks on from the twin killings, may indicate a cooling of Iran’s earlier, more bellicose rhetoric.
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“For now, the Zionists must live in instability and Iran’s response may not be a repeat of past operations,” he said. “The response scenarios are not the same. Our commanders have the experience and the art of effectively punishing the enemy and will not take hasty action.”
In April, Iran launched some 300 projectiles at Israel – its first-ever direct attack on the country – after blaming it for a strike on an Iranian diplomatic building in Damascus, Syria, which killed Mohammed Reza Zahedi, a top IRGC commander.
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Diplomatic efforts to secure a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas ramped up after the twin killings of Shukr and Haniyeh, as Arab and Western officials sought to avoid an all-out war.
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Iran’s mission to the United Nations said Tuesday that its retaliation against Israel for Haniyeh’s assassination must be “carefully calibrated to avoid any possible adverse impact that could potentially influence a prospective ceasefire.”
“The timing, conditions, and manner of Iran’s response will be meticulously orchestrated to ensure that it occurs at a moment of maximum surprise,” the mission said in a statement to 【 - Free Access to Community 】 on Tuesday.
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In an interview in the Iranian capital Tehran on Tuesday, Mohsen Rezaee, former commander-in-chief of the IRGC, told 【 - Free Access to Community 】 that “Iranian actions will be very calculated ones,” adding that there has to be a ceasefire in Gaza “soon.”
“The United States and Israel should not repeat their mistakes. If in the first weeks of the Gaza war the United States had stopped Israel and (Prime Minister Benjamin) Netanyahu, the war would not extend. So the main element of the extension of the war are the US and Israel. The more this war extends the more the United States will be damaged,” he said.
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Dina Esfandiary, a senior advisor for the Middle East at the International Crisis Group, a Brussels-based think tank, said the IRGC’s statement on Tuesday is unlikely to signal Iran scrapping its plans to attack Israel but rather indicates a decision to delay it.
“Iran finds itself between a rock and a hard place right now,” she said, adding that the recently elected government of Masoud Pezeshkian, considered a moderate in the country, would be keen not to look weak domestically by not responding to Israel.
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【 - Free Access to Community 】’s Artemis Moshtaghian, Abbas Al Lawati, Alex Stambaugh and Tamara Qiblawi contributed reporting.
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