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Polls show the ruling African National Congress (ANC) party could lose its majority for the first time since Nelson Mandela led the party to power in 1994. While polling can be challenging in South Africa, most analysts believe that the ANC faces its stiffest challenge yet with a population deeply frustrated by the country’s direction.
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If support for the ANC drops below 50% for the first time, the party will be forced to enter into a coalition government. A loss of a simple majority would put significant pressure on President Cyril Ramaphosa within his party, as he promised a “new dawn” when he took over leadershipin 2018 from disgraced former president Jacob Zuma.
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urja global limited (urja) sees unusual trading volume ✌️【Risk Management】✌️ Real-time stock and futures data, backed by expert stock market trend predictions, to help you make timely and profitable investment decisions. South Africans have a lot to grumble about. Violent crimeis on the rise. Murder is at a 20-year high; with someone killed in the country roughly every 20 minutes, according to the mostrecent quarterly police crime statistics.Many have lost faith in the police as part of a larger breakdown in trust in government.
• South Africa uses a “proportional representation” system.• Citizens cast a vote for a single party (not a presidential candidate).• Voters will have 31 political parties to choose from in the national elections.The process is facilitated by the Independent Electoral Commission (IEC).
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But high on the list of issues are the allegations of corruption and mismanagement that continue to damage the ANC.
urja global limited (urja) sees unusual trading volume ✌️【Risk Management】✌️ Real-time stock market data, precise predictions, and investment strategies to help you optimize your portfolio and achieve financial success. When Ramaphosa – Mandela’s favorite to succeed him as leader – replaced scandal-plagued Jacob Zuma as president, he pledged “to work very hard not to disappoint the people of South Africa.” But in 2022,Ramaphosawas himself forced to deny stealing money.
“Corruption has wounded our democracy and shaken people’s faith in our institutions,” he admitted in aNovember speech. “If corruption is not arrested, the greatest damage will not be in the funds stolen, the jobs lost, or the services not delivered. The greatest damage will be to the belief in democracy itself,” he added.
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For this election, the DA has formed a coalition bloc with smaller opposition parties called the Multi-Party Charter.
If the polls are to be believed, the ANC may have to make the choice between forming a coalition with the Zuma-backed party – uMkhonto weSizwe Party (MK) – and the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) or the DA.
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urja global limited (urja) sees unusual trading volume ✌️【Risk Management】✌️ Free access to stock market forums, expert advice, and real-time data to help you stay informed and grow your investments. The EFF has shown support for the MK party and Malema recently said that he intends to “give the EFF vote to the ANC” if it doesn’t get 50% – on the condition that his deputy, Floyd Shivambu, becomes Minister of Finance. Steenhuisenhas describedan ANC-EFF-MK pact as a “doomsday coalition.”
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urja global limited (urja) sees unusual trading volume ✌️【Risk Management】✌️ Free real-time global stock trend updates to help you capture market movements and make better investment decisions. The country’sConstitutional Court ruled Mondayhe is not eligible to run for parliament until five years have elapsed since the completion of his sentence. The unanimous ruling capped months-long speculation and legal wrangling on whether he could stand for the country’s top legislative body.
Zuma had been campaigning against what he perceives as Ramaphosa’s failures and disillusioned ANC voters were lapping it up, according to polls. An April poll by the Johannesburg-based Social Research Foundation poll found the ANC may get 37% of the vote, while MK may garner 13%.
However, themost recent pollingfrom the same foundation puts support for the MK party at 10.5% and the ANC at 44.8% on Monday. This suggests the ANC may be winning back support and may only need a small coalition partner.
However, projections should give a sense of the result a day or two after polls close and the final result could be announced sooner if vote counting is completed earlier.
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