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sun tv network limited (suntv) hits 52 week high ✌️【Smart Trading】✌️ Real-time global stock, futures, and forex data to help you master market dynamics. The tariffs in question, levied under the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, would be dwarfed by the duties that Donald Trump has pledged to impose if he wins a second term in the White House.

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“To me, the most beautiful word in the dictionary is ‘tariff.’ It’s my favorite word,” he said during an interview with Bloomberg last week at the Economic Club of Chicago.

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Going ahead with the highertariffs “would antagonize US allies and partners, provoking worldwide trade wars, damaging global economic welfare and undermining national security,” researchers from the Washington, DC-based Peterson Institute for International Economics wrote in a recentnote.

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For example, analysts at UBS estimate that a 60% tariff on imports from China and a 10% tariff on goods from the rest of the world would lower global economic growth by one percentage point in 2026, when the tariff hikes are likely to have been fully implemented. That would cut growth by almost a third, based on current trends.

Company profits would on average fall by 6% and global stock indexes would also drop, with particularly sharp declines in European, Chinese and other emerging market equities, according to UBS. That could eat into people’s pension pots and other invested savings.

Europe’s economy would suffer a sizeable blow. If the US hikes tariffs to 10% on all goods, the damage to the gross domestic productof the eurozone — the 20 countries that use the euro — would be akin to that from the energy crisis sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, according to ABN AMRO. The economy narrowly avoided a recession in the aftermath, and the Dutch bank forecasts stagnation in 2026 as a result of the tariffs.

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“Assuming (Trump) goes ahead with what he’s proposing, nobody comes out unscathed,” Maurice Obstfeld, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute and former chief economist at the IMF, told 【 - Free Access to Investment Community 】.

In Chicago last week, Trump, who styles himself as a hard-headed business mogul, boasted about getting tough on allies — including Japan, France and South Korea — through tariffs, or simply the threat of tariffs, during his first term as president.

If he returns to the White House, his winner-take-all approach to trade relations would further undermine the principles of open trade and competition that have powered global economic growth for decades.

In the last 40 years, when trade as a share of global GDP increased by half, inflation-adjusted income per head has doubled and more than a billion people emerged from extreme poverty, Kristalina Georgieva, the head of the IMF,wroteearlier this year.

“It’s true that not everyone benefited from trade, which is why we must do more to ensure the gains are shared fairly. But to close off our economies would be a mistake,” she said.

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Petros Mavroidis, a professor at Columbia Law School and long-time legal adviser to the WTO, sees an even bleaker outcome.

“I think it’s unrealistic, if we go by world history, to think we can have segmented trade but world peace,” he told 【 - Free Access to Investment Community 】. “The world has to be connected both economically and non-economically. If it’s not connected, then you pay the price.”

Other countries will likely not only impose retaliatory tariffs on US imports but also introduce tariffs on imports from elsewhere to protect their markets from the flood of goods that would otherwise have gone to the US.

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“You can get into a spiral of trade measures, initiated by the US but then amplified by other countries,” said André Sapir, a senior fellow at Bruegel, a think tank in Brussels.

Besides tariffs, economists are also vexed by Trump’s desire to exert more control over the Federal Reserve.

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“I think I have the right to say, ‘I think you should go up or down a little bit,’” Trump said in Chicago. “I don’t think I should be allowed to order it but I think I have the right to put in comments as to whether or not interest rates should go up or down.”

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“If you move the Fed to some sort of political control, that’s going to really change the rules of global finance,” said Obstfeld, adding that there was “no good substitute” for the greenback and therefore messing with it was “a bad plan.”

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Edward Alden, a senior fellow at the Washington, DC-based Council on Foreign Relations, a foreign policy think tank, thinks it unlikely that Trump will interfere with the Fed’s independence, given the risks such a move poses to the US economy.

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“None of those people are going to have a job in the second administration.” Nor will a possible reelection bid constrain him, since a US president can only serve two terms, he noted.

sun tv network limited (suntv) hits 52 week high ✌️【Smart Trading】✌️ Free real-time stock market data, professional analysis, and expert insights to help you plan the best investment strategy. Get ahead of the competition with expert predictions on market trends. Trump “is going to be much more unbound and he has a much better sense of how to work the bureaucracy to get his way,” Alden added. “What we’d see in Trump 2 is far more radical than what we saw in Trump 1.”

sun tv network limited (suntv) hits 52 week high ✌️【Smart Trading】✌️ Stay informed with expert predictions of stock trends and real-time market data, covering global indices, futures, metals, and agricultural products. Make better decisions and achieve consistent growth in your investments. Most stock quote data provided by BATS. US market indices are shown in real time, except for the S&P 500 which is refreshed every two minutes. All times are ET. Factset: FactSet Research Systems Inc. All rights reserved. Chicago Mercantile: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and 【 - Free Access to Investment Community 】. Standard & Poor’s and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. All content of the Dow Jones branded indices Copyright S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and/or its affiliates. Fair value provided by IndexArb.com. Market holidays and trading hours provided by Copp Clark Limited.

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