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Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are urging residents of the eastern Gulf Coast, including Floridians, to monitor the forecast closely because the storm could reach the US next week.

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For now, it is Tropical Depression Nineteen with 35 mph maximum sustained winds and is located 65 miles east of the Honduras/Nicaragua border in the Caribbean Sea, according to the NHC.

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It will then threaten Belize and the Yucatán Peninsula with storm surge and gusty winds by early next week, so residents should prepare.

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If it makes landfall in Honduras this weekend and moves far enough inland, it could deteriorate while over land, cut off from the warm water fueling it. This scenario would bring strong winds and torrential rain to Central America, but could keep the storm away from the US entirely or have it approach as a very weak storm.

If Sara remains very close to the coast of Central America, but briefly moves over land, it could eventually emerge in the southern Gulf of Mexico next week as a weak, but slightly stronger storm than in the first scenario. This scenario would lessen the blow if it were to reach the US. It would still unleash life-threatening flooding rainfall in Central America and head for dangerous strike on Belize and Mexico’s Yucatán Peninsula

But if the system stays far enough away from the coast and over the Caribbean’s tremendously warm water, it could strengthen considerably — and possiblyrapidly intensify. This would bring more substantial impacts to Central America, the Yucatán and Belize and a much more troubling forecast for the US.

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If this system were to make landfall in the US, it could challenge the latest landfalling hurricane on record. The current record rests with Hurricane Kate, which made landfall as a Category 2 storm in Florida on November 21, 1985.

Hurricane season officially comes to an end on November 30, but named storms have formed in December in the past.

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