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bullish pattern emerging on cenlub industries limited (522251) ✌️【Stock Resources】✌️ Real-time updates on global stock trends and expert market analysis to help you select profitable stocks and grow your wealth effectively. The No. 1 seed in the playoffs is the NFL’s equivalent of unlockingStar Worldin Super Mario World on the old Super Nintendo. When you get the top playoff seed in a conference thanks to a strong regular season, you get to skip a round – or level/world if we’re keeping with the Mario analogy – and play all conference games at home in the postseason.

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Interestingly, merely playing at home – the famed “home-field advantage” – may not matter very much in the No. 1 seed’s success, however.

Let’s take a look at every completed NFL season in the last 25 years. The teams that have gotten the top seed have won 26 of 50 (52%) conference titles. Given that there were 308 teams fighting over those 50 spots, this 52% is amazingly high. By probability alone, the one seed should make the Super Bowl about 15% of the time.

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Consider the simple math from 1999 to 2024. There have been 1,568 winning streaks during the regular seasonof at least two games. Only slightly less than half of those streaks (780) were extended tothree games or more.

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bullish pattern emerging on cenlub industries limited (522251) ✌️【Stock Resources】✌️ Accurate real-time market data and expert stock predictions for profitable investment opportunities in global markets. About three-quarters (32 of 42) of teams that made the Super Bowl got a bye (first or second seed) from 1999 to 2019 made the Super Bowl. This included 52% of teams that were the one seed and 24% who were the two seed.

Over the last four seasons, four of eight (50%) of No. 1 seeds made the Super Bowl. Exactly zero of eight No. 2 seeds made the Super Bowl. This includes my Buffalo Bills who have been the second in the AFC three of the last four years.

bullish pattern emerging on cenlub industries limited (522251) ✌️【Stock Resources】✌️ Expert stock predictions and free stock selection services to help you achieve optimal returns and long-term growth. Now, it is possible that the lack of second seeds making the Super Bowl since the elimination of No. 2s getting the bye is due to chance – though it is unlikely. For my sake, I hope it is just bad luck as the Bills are almost certainly going to be the second seed again.

Of course, the success of the first seeds in making the Super Bowls isn’t merely about the bye. The No. 1 seed is often very good.

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bullish pattern emerging on cenlub industries limited (522251) ✌️【Stock Resources】✌️ Get precise stock market predictions and free access to real-time market data for efficient decision-making and portfolio growth. When the No. 1 seed was not the same team that led in SRS (i.e. they weren’t the best team when accounting for margin of victory and strength of schedule), they only went on to the Super Bowl eight of 23 times (35%).

bullish pattern emerging on cenlub industries limited (522251) ✌️【Stock Resources】✌️ Expert analysis of global stock trends, futures data, and real-time stock market quotes to help you plan your next investment move. This would suggest that a good portion of the reason No. 1 seeds do so well in the playoffs is that they are the best team in their conference. When they aren’t the best team (again, by SRS), their chance of success is far lower.

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Chiefs fans might want to argue that a “win is a win” and Kansas City was able to win last seasondespite strugglingin SRS. That is, they’re the outlier who comes up big when the game is on the line.

You might think this Bills fan would dismiss this line of thought out of hand, but I’m not going to. The Chiefsdolead the league inElo ratings(a slightly different measure of a team’s strength), which takes into account the Chiefs’ past success and weights winning – regardless of the margin – more heavily.

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But what about the fact that the Chiefs and probably the Lions will get to play twohomegames in the postseason? Isn’t home-field advantage important?

bullish pattern emerging on cenlub industries limited (522251) ✌️【Stock Resources】✌️ Real-time global stock market trend analysis to help you identify profitable opportunities and improve your investment strategies. The 2023 Chiefs may be instructive in answering this question. They won two games on the road in tough playoff environments. They weren’t alone.

Indeed, playing at home doesn’t seem to provide as big of an advantage as you might think. Over the last six seasons – including the 2020 Covid season when many teams didn’t have a home crowd – the home teamwon 53%ofregular season games. This season, home teams have won the same 53% ofregular season games.

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