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Its severity was due to a perfect storm of environmental factors: highly flammable grasses and strong winds combined with record-high temperatures and dry conditions — the kind of extreme weather often exacerbated by climate change.

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In California,80% of the state’s largest wildfireshave occurred in the last decade, including the 2018 Camp Fire, which killed85 peopleand destroyed the town of Paradise.

But it’s not just the US grappling with alarming new fire behavior. Canada experienced its worst wildfire season on record in 2023, with flames scorchingmore than 18 million hectares(44.5 million acres) — more than double the previous record.

In Greece, winds and record temperatures led to deadly fires last summer, thelargest ever recordedin the European Union. And in early February, wildfirestore through parts of Chile, killing more than 130 people.

“We have certainly seen plenty of extreme and catastrophic fires and fire seasons across the globe in the past decade,” said John Abatzoglou, a climate professor at the University of California, Merced.

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In many cases, climate change is playing a role, he added, “enabling more active fire seasons and very large fire events.”

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Kanclerz said it was clear before the fires broke out that wind, temperature and humidity indicators added up to critical fire conditions.

It’s hard to witness, he added. Huge fires in these parts of Texas are “not unheard of,” he said, “but we hate to see the frequency of them.”

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Hotter temperatures are the clearest climate change-fueled contributor to wildfires. Heat sucks the moisture from vegetation making it much more combustible. “Drier fuels are a critical part of fire, the drier the fuel the easier it is to start a fire,” said Mike Flannigan, professor of wildland fire at the University of Alberta.

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Periods of drought, which are becoming longer and more intense as the world warms, also dry out vegetation and increase the likelihood offires igniting and spreading rapidly. The Maui fires happened as a third of the islandstruggled with drought.

But drought isn’t always needed for fires to spread explosively, Abatzoglou said – something evidenced by the fact that as of earlier in the week, there wasno droughtwhere the Smokehouse Creek fire ignited and spread to.

In West Texas, shorter periods of dryness can be enough to fuel huge fires when there is a bumper crop of grasses as well as high winds, he said.

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But it’s hard to attribute climate change to the winds that fueled the Texas fires, Abatzoglou said, “any link right now is most likely weak.”

Overall, however, climate projections “paint a future of more extreme fire weather conditions for the general region,” he added.

It’s a picture that extends across the US, according to a recentreportfrom Climate Central, a nonprofit research group, which found wildfire seasons are lengthening and intensifying as climate change increases the likelihood of the kind of extreme weather that favors fires.

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“As long as the climate keeps warming and makes fire weather more common, the risks will only keep rising.”

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