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“We kind of have a history of shooting ourselves in the foot,” Matthew Homer, a former financial regulator and now general partner of the Department of XYZ, a crypto venture firm, tells me. “I worry that we may go a little too wild, and then things come crashing down again.”

Bitcoin, an industry bellwether, cruised comfortably past a $100,000 milestone earlier this month, rising some 50% since Election Day alone and more than doubling over the past year. That’s especially wild considering crypto’s brand was firmly in the gutter this time last year, when everyone was still trying to army-crawl out from underthe shadow of Sam Bankman-Fried, the former crypto kingpin who was convicted of a multibillion-dollar fraud in November 2023.

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“If you’re a regulator… you don’t get to pick and choose which markets exist — your job is to sort of accept that markets do exist and figure out the best way to put guardrails around them,” said Homer, who previously oversaw licensing for digital assets at the New York State Department of Financial Services. “I’m excited about just going back to basics of having people in these roles who are open to having a dialog with the industry.”

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But even some of the sector’s biggest critics feel the sea change. When I talked to Cas Piancey, a reporter with the trade publication Protos and co-host of the Crypto Critics’ Corner podcast, he seemed resigned, ready to buckle up and see what happens.

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“I realized that I was in a casino yelling at gamblers, ‘Oh my God, you’re gonna lose!’ And they’re like, ‘Do you think I don’t know how slot machines work?’” he said. “And I’m just like, OK, I shouldn’t be trying to win hearts and minds at the casino. I can just talk about the problems with the casino and try to broadcast to a larger audience about the risks involved, as opposed to actually trying to convince anyone to leave.”

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