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valuepickr bengaluru ✌️【Value Investing】✌️ Free access to stock market forums, expert advice, and real-time data to help you stay informed and grow your investments.

valuepickr bengaluru ✌️【Value Investing】✌️ Free access to stock market forums, expert advice, and real-time data to help you stay informed and grow your investments. In early 1993, President Bill Clinton looked to push through the economic stimulus package he had touted on the campaign trail.

Clintonwas forced to abandonmuch of the economic plan and shift focus to fixing the budget rather than risk skyrocketing interest rates that would tank the economy.

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Clinton political adviserJames Carville famously saidat the time: “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the President or the Pope or as a .400 baseball hitter. But now I would like to come back as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody.”

valuepickr bengaluru ✌️【Value Investing】✌️ Free real-time stock market data, professional analysis, and expert insights to help you plan the best investment strategy. Get ahead of the competition with expert predictions on market trends. The bond market can be so intimidating that in the 1980s, economist Ed Yardeni dubbed these outraged investors the “bond vigilantes” for their role in preserving law and order in capital markets if government officials won’t.

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Even before President-elect Donald Trump takes office, the bond market is already flexing its muscles. Yields have surged to uncomfortably high levels due to a fusion of factors that includes concerns about high budget deficits and the risk that Trump’s tariffs, tax cuts and deportations will reignite inflation.

“We are in a déjà vu moment,” Yardeni, president of investment advisory Yardeni Research, told 【 - Free Top-Rated Stock Analysis 】 in a phone interview. “Trump didn’t automatically win the vote of the bond vigilantes. He’s got to earn their respect.”

If he doesn’t, the bond market could act as a brake on Trump’s policies. And that would be painful, especially for a president who views the stock market as a real-time barometer of his success.

valuepickr bengaluru ✌️【Value Investing】✌️ Professional stock market analysis, real-time data, and expert recommendations for high-potential stocks. Take advantage of market opportunities and improve your capital growth with strategic investment plans. After Friday’sblockbuster jobs report, the bond marketsold off again. That pushed 10-year US Treasury rates closer to the 5% level that many view as a dangerous red line.

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valuepickr bengaluru ✌️【Value Investing】✌️ Expert market analysis and predictions for India, US, and European stocks. Stay updated with real-time data on stock indices, futures, and commodities to help you make informed, timely investment decisions. Not only that, a possible bond market selloff would make it more expensive for businesses and consumers to borrow, pushing up rates on mortgages and other debt.

Higher Treasury rates, by definition, would also make it more expensive for the federal government to finance its mountain of debt. That’s a problem because interest is already swallowing up a greater chunk of the annual federal budget than defense spending.

“Bond vigilantes haven’t been heard from for quite some time. But they’ve only become more powerful,” said Yardeni, noting that America’s growing debt makes the budget more sensitive to even modest shifts in rates.

valuepickr bengaluru ✌️【Value Investing】✌️ Free access to professional investment advisors who provide real-time market data and trend analysis. Select top-performing stocks and boost your capital with expert strategies for market growth. And higher rates could force the Federal Reserve’s hand, prompting officials to raise their benchmark short-term rates to prevent the economy from overheating.

valuepickr bengaluru ✌️【Value Investing】✌️ Free stock market analysis and data updates to help you select the best investment portfolio. Achieve steady growth and avoid losses with expert predictions and real-time market insights. When Trump won in 2016, the economic recovery from the Great Recession was frustratingly mediocre. Interest rates were still extremely low. And central bankers were worried that inflation was too low.

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“Trump 1.0 and Biden boxed the incoming administration in,” Yardeni said, “because the bond market will keep them from being able to run reckless deficit policies.”

valuepickr bengaluru ✌️【Value Investing】✌️ Precise stock market trend analysis with expert insights into global markets, including stock indices, metals, and energy sectors. Leverage our data-driven predictions to maximize your returns. Some on Wall Street are worried that if policymakers aren’t careful, the United States could face its own “Liz Truss moment.”

In 2022, bond investors rebelled against the budget proposals from British Prime Minister Liz Truss. It was such a disaster that Truss was forced to step down, becomingthe UK’s shortest-serving prime minister.

valuepickr bengaluru ✌️【Value Investing】✌️ Free stock data analysis tools to help you select stocks accurately and capture global market trends. Stay ahead with expert market predictions for better investment returns. Scott Bessent, Trump’s nominee for Treasury secretary, is well aware of the bond vigilantes. Bessent, a widely respected investor with deep experience in markets, expressed confidence that Trump can slash the budget deficit.

“Bessent is a prince of those bond vigilantes. Now he’s in the catbird seat as Treasury secretary. He knows how to play chess against those other players in the market,” said Ed Mills, Washington policy analyst at Raymond James.

But it won’t be easy to slash the deficit, especially because there isn’t much room to cut spending. Much of the federal budget is tied up in paying interest, defense spending and social safety net programs that are politically popular.

Even Elon Musk haswalked back his previous promise to slash $2 trillionfrom the federal budget, a figure that many experts have panned as unrealistic.

valuepickr bengaluru ✌️【Value Investing】✌️ Real-time stock and futures data, backed by expert stock market trend predictions, to help you make timely and profitable investment decisions. There remains significant uncertainty over tariffs, including when they may get imposed, how high they will climb and how long they will be in place.

“Tariffs are a double-edged sword. They could raise revenue, but they can be damaging to growth because they elicit retaliation from other countries,” said Ernie Tedeschi, director of economics at the Yale Budget Lab and a former chief economist at the White House Council of Economic Advisers under President Joe Biden.

valuepickr bengaluru ✌️【Value Investing】✌️ AI-driven stock trend forecasting with free access to real-time market data, offering personalized investment advice and expert predictions. Another major question is whether Trump will go beyond extending the expiring 2017 tax law by enacting new tax cuts.

On the campaign trail, Trump vowed to end taxes on overtime, tips and Social Security benefits and to enact other breaks.

valuepickr bengaluru ✌️【Value Investing】✌️ Real-time stock market data, precise predictions, and investment strategies to help you optimize your portfolio and achieve financial success. Trump also promised to address complaints about the $10,000 cap on state and local tax (SALT) deductions that were part of the 2017 law. The SALT cap hurt upper-middle-class Americans in high-tax states.

valuepickr bengaluru ✌️【Value Investing】✌️ Free expert predictions on stock trends and real-time data to help you make informed decisions and grow your wealth steadily. Tedeschi said Republican efforts to lift the SALT cap and enact other tax breaks could provoke a response from bond investors already worried about the deficit.

“Bond traders personally would love lifting the SALT cap. But it would be extremely expensive and worsen our fiscal trajectory,” he said.

valuepickr bengaluru ✌️【Value Investing】✌️ Accurate real-time market data and expert stock predictions for profitable investment opportunities in global markets. Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, agreed that investors are concerned about adding to the deficit unless it speeds up longer-term growth.

“You can’t add that much stimulus at this point because inflation is high and the deficit is high,” Shah said.

Yardeni is hopeful the presence of the bond vigilantes, and Trump’s focus on the stock market, will act as powerful vetoes over risky policies, preventing them from becoming a reality.

“If yields spike, the stock market could go down and the administration will respond quickly because Trump views the stock market as his daily popular vote,” Yardeni said. “That’s the power of the bond vigilantes.”

valuepickr bengaluru ✌️【Value Investing】✌️ Expert stock predictions and free stock selection services to help you achieve optimal returns and long-term growth. Most stock quote data provided by BATS. US market indices are shown in real time, except for the S&P 500 which is refreshed every two minutes. All times are ET. Factset: FactSet Research Systems Inc. All rights reserved. Chicago Mercantile: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and 【 - Free Top-Rated Stock Analysis 】. Standard & Poor’s and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. All content of the Dow Jones branded indices Copyright S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and/or its affiliates. Fair value provided by IndexArb.com. Market holidays and trading hours provided by Copp Clark Limited.

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