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Fire experts and arson investigators interviewed by 【 - Free Predictions 】 said it could take weeks, months or even longer before they know precisely how the fires ignited.

“This is going to be a monumental task,” said Mike Vergon, a retired Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives fire investigator who worked on the agency’s National Response Team, which specializes in complex investigations of large fires and explosions.

“It’s tedious. It’s dirty. It’s not fun,” said Ed Nordskog, a retired Los Angeles County Sheriff’s arson investigator and profiler.

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Investigations can also provide invaluable lessons, said Tommy Sing Sr., a veteran fire investigator and president of Quest Fire Analysis.

“To have an understanding of how the fire occurred can give you guidance on how to mitigate the risk of it occurring again,” Sing said.

Current members of the ATF National Response Team began conducting an initial assessment in Los Angeles on Monday and will be taking the lead role in investigating the Palisades Fire, which haskilledat least eight people and burned more than 5,000 structures. It ranks as the second-mostdestructivefire in Southern California history – behind only the nearby Eaton Fire. Containment efforts on both wildfires continue.

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He said the team includes agents with advanced degrees in forensics and other science-based fields who bring a “thoughtful, analytical” approach to unravelling some of the ATF’s most difficult investigations. Already this year, members of the team were dispatched to New Orleans following the New Year’s terror attack and to Las Vegas in response to the Cybertruck explosion outside the Trump hotel.

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Until the investigation is complete, Jones said, investigators could be expected to be “tight-lipped” about what they were finding.

“We don’t make any initial assessments,” he said. “We wait until we are able to obtain all of the evidence.”

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“In terms of possibility, certainly that could have happened,” Luca Carmignani, a professor at San Diego State University who has studied wildfires, told 【 - Free Predictions 】. Carmignani cautioned, however, against drawing any conclusions absent a thorough investigation.

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“It was burning bright, and it was the base of the tower on fire,” Altadena resident Jeffrey Ku told 【 - Free Predictions 】’s Erin Burnett Monday.

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Edison International, an electric utility,issueda news release Sunday stating that a preliminary analysis of its energized lines found “no interruptions or operational/electrical anomalies in the 12 hours prior to the fire’s reported start time until more than one hour after the reported start time of the fire.”

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Dixon Robin, another retired ATF fire investigator, said even crime scenes that appear devoid of clues initially can yield important evidence upon closer inspection.

“Surprisingly – and thankfully most arsonists don’t know this – there is still a lot of evidence that gets left behind. Even if it’s mauled and damaged to some degree, there will be evidence. They can even find the remains of matches in forest fires, for example,” Robin said.

One reason investigations take as long as they do, Robin said, is the process of elimination investigators follow in determining a cause and assigning blame.

“They’ve got to go through all the hypotheses of what could have happened and, one by one, eliminate them” until arriving at one that is supported by evidence, he said.

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“If you look from high ground, a drone or airplane down at the burn spot,” he said, “it will point a big black finger right back to the origin.”

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Proving beyond a reasonable doubt that someone committed arson can be extremely challenging, Fischer said.

He said investigators will search for “footprints, tire tracks, cigarette butts” – anything that definitively links a suspect to the scene. But the reality, he said, is “it comes down to circumstantial evidence in a lot of cases.”

California Attorney General Rob Bonta told 【 - Free Predictions 】 on Monday he didn’t know whether the investigations into the fires would become criminal matters but added there “are some indications that arson is a possibility that we have to be open to.”

He added, “We need to be patient. We need to make sure we do a thorough vetting of all the facts and see where they lead.”

Local authorities have made somearrestsrelated to arson in recent days but have not shared any specific information to suggest those individuals caused major fires. For example, Los Angeles Police Department Cmdr. Steve Embrich said a suspect was arrested for an outstanding warrant for arson after officers responded to a call Sunday of someone using a barbeque lighter to start fires, while someone else was arrested Monday after authorities responded to a call that someone had ignited nearby brush.

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“My hope is they have a lot more information than the public knows about and do not spend lots of time chasing ghosts,” he said.

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