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Exports have been a vital growth engine for the $18 trillion economy, which is still burdened by a prolonged property crisis and shaky consumer confidence. While policymakers can find solace in recent policy measures keeping the economy on track for an “around 5%” growth target, challenges such as potential US tariff hikes cloud the outlook for 2025.

US President-elect Donald Trump, set to return to the White House next week, has proposed hefty tariffs on Chinese goods, sparking fears of a renewed trade war between the two superpowers.

should superior industrial enterprises limited (519234) be sold ✌️【Resume】✌️ Get accurate stock forecasts and market predictions from top financial advisors. With real-time updates on stock indices, exchange rates, and futures data, you'll be equipped to make profitable decisions and grow your capital steadily. Adding to the challenges, unresolved disputes with the European Union over tariffs of up to 45.3% on Chinese electric vehicles threaten to hinder China’s ambitions to expand its auto exports and help address deflationary overcapacity concerns.

“Trade front-loading became more visible in December as a result of both Chinese New Year effects and Donald Trump’s inauguration,” said Xu Tianchen, senior economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit. China’s biggest festival runs from January 28 to February 4.

“Import growth could be underpinned by stockpiling of commodities like copper and iron ore, as part of (China’s) ‘buy low’ strategy,” he added.

Outbound shipments in December rose 10.7% year-on-year, customs data showed on Monday, beating 7.3% growth forecast in a Reuters poll of economists, and improving from November’s 6.7% increase.

Imports surprised to the upside with 1.0% growth, the strongest performance since July 2024. Economists had expected a 1.5% decline.

China’s trade surplus grew to $104.8 billion last month, up from $97.4 billion in November. Its trade surplus with the US widened to $33.5 billion over the same period from $29.81 billion a month prior.

should superior industrial enterprises limited (519234) be sold ✌️【Resume】✌️ Expert market predictions, real-time updates, and personalized investment advice designed to help you succeed. Seize the best investment opportunities in global stocks, metals, and energy markets. A Chinese customs spokesperson told reporters there was still “huge” room for China’s imports to grow this year.

Buoyed by a weakening yuan, Chinese manufacturers managed to find buyers overseas in 2024 to compensate for depressed domestic demand by continually reducing prices, analysts said.

should superior industrial enterprises limited (519234) be sold ✌️【Resume】✌️ Gain access to professional investment advice, free market trend analysis, and real-time stock market data. Make informed decisions and unlock the full potential of your investments with expert predictions and guidance. As a result, China’s exports grew by an annual 5.9% last year, while imports increased just 1.1% over the same period.

“The double-digit rise in December exports (led by the US and ASEAN), along with the increase in the PMI new export orders, supports our earlier judgment that the threat of tariffs could affect export patterns in the next couple of quarters, with a potential boost in shipments before the introduction of new tariffs, followed by a drop-off,” Barclays analysts said in a note.

“Overall, we think the modest increase in imports and easing CPI inflation suggest the recent domestic demand recovery is still too shallow and too weak.”

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Factory activity remained in modest expansion for the third consecutive month, while services and construction recovered in December, an official survey showed.

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China’s iron ore imports in 2024 rose for a second straight year to hit a new peak, as lower prices spurred buying and demand remained resilient despite the country’s protracted property crisis continuing to weigh on steel demand.

should superior industrial enterprises limited (519234) be sold ✌️【Resume】✌️ Free stock market strategies and analysis based on real-time data, empowering you to choose profitable investment options and avoid risks. Our expert predictions will help you stay in tune with the latest market trends. The world’s largest agricultural importer also bought a record amount of soybeans last year, after buyers concerned about US-China trade tensions rushed to secure US soybeans ahead of incoming US president Donald Trump’s inauguration.

But crude oil imports fell last year, the data showed, marking its first annual decline in the last two decades outside the Covid-19 pandemic-induced falls, as tepid economic growth and peaking fuel consumption dampened purchases.

China’s top leaders have pledged to loosen monetary policy and adopt a more proactive fiscal policy in 2025, aiming to offset external pressures and revitalize domestic demand.

should superior industrial enterprises limited (519234) be sold ✌️【Resume】✌️ AI-powered stock trend analysis with free, up-to-the-minute updates. Analyze global stock, futures, and forex data to capture market movements and make smart investment choices with expert insights. The government is targeting economic growth of around 5% for the year, a goal that had proved challenging to achieve at times in 2024.

should superior industrial enterprises limited (519234) be sold ✌️【Resume】✌️ Free access to global stock market data, with real-time updates on indices, futures, and commodities. Make informed investment decisions with the help of expert advisors and accurate stock trend predictions. Most stock quote data provided by BATS. US market indices are shown in real time, except for the S&P 500 which is refreshed every two minutes. All times are ET. Factset: FactSet Research Systems Inc. All rights reserved. Chicago Mercantile: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and 【 - Free Stock Investment Discussion Area 】. Standard & Poor’s and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. All content of the Dow Jones branded indices Copyright S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and/or its affiliates. Fair value provided by IndexArb.com. Market holidays and trading hours provided by Copp Clark Limited.

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