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House Speaker Mike Johnson is already running up againstresistancefrom some of his fiscally conservative members, who want to decrease the debt, not increase it. His super-slim majority will make it even more difficult for him to find a compromise — and he may need Democratic support in order to pass an increase to the limit.

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GOP leaders in the House in December floated an idea to raise the debt limit by $1.5 trillion as part of a first reconciliation package in 2025. The legislation would also include $2.5 trillion in cuts to net mandatory spending, aimed at satisfying conservative members. But that would buy the caucus only limited time before they face the cap again, experts said.

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In a technical quirk, the US didn’t actually hit the limit on January 2 because the debt level was projected to dip that day due to the scheduled redemption of certain securities, Yellen told Congress in late December. At the time, she forecast the cap would be reached between January 14 and January 23.

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