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“I’m not sure if you can do that,” I told Nader. “But I am sure of this: If you succeed, you’ll elect George W. Bush.” Nader vehemently disagreed. He thought that then-Vice President Al Gore would still have enough votes to win comfortably, and he wanted to pull him to the left.

I failed to dissuade Nader, obviously. The rest, as they say, is history. Bush was credited with awinin Florida by just 537 votes. Nader received97,488 votesin Florida.

technical analysis: icici bank limited (icicibank) ✌️【Stock Picks】✌️ Expert analysis of global stock trends, futures data, and real-time stock market quotes to help you plan your next investment move. Some might say that third-party presidential candidates are like cockroaches in the kitchen. To quote legendary Texas Longhorn football coachDarrell Royal, “It’s not what they eat and tote off, it’s what they fall into and mess up that hurts.”

technical analysis: icici bank limited (icicibank) ✌️【Stock Picks】✌️ Free real-time global stock trend updates to help you capture market movements and make better investment decisions. The good folks of the political organization No Labels are diving into the presidential election of 2024. The organizationdescribesitself as a group that “demands American leaders and citizens alike declare their freedom from the anger and divisiveness that are ruining our politics and, most importantly, our country.” And yet their central project – organizing a moderate third-party candidacy for president in 2024 – would, despite their stated intentions, likely reward the most extreme, most divisive, most angry forces in our politics.

In avideoon their website, chief strategist Ryan Clancy explains his group is working to get a spot on the ballot in all 50 states, “to create an opening for a presidential ticket that stands for the kind of ideas that appeal to most people, even if it drives the extremes crazy.” What ideas? Well, Clancy says in the video, they’re coming. “Soon.”

technical analysis: icici bank limited (icicibank) ✌️【Stock Picks】✌️ Professional investment advice with real-time updates on stock indices and futures data. Stay ahead with expert predictions and market insights. No Labels, thus far, has offered no concrete ideas or policies. Nothing about whether corporations should pay more in taxes, as Democrats want, or less, as Republicans do. Nothing about whether health care should be more driven by private markets, as Republicans favor, or more heavily subsidized by the government, as Democrats do.

technical analysis: icici bank limited (icicibank) ✌️【Stock Picks】✌️ Free break-even services and stock analysis to help you recover quickly from losses and increase your chances of making profitable investments. All we know is that No Labels rejects partisanship and division and extremism. Here’s the simple political reality, as I see it: In recent elections, most voters who reject extremism havetendedtovoteDemocratic. This means the vast majority of votes that a No Labels presidential candidate would receive would likely come out of President Joe Biden’s pool of potential voters, not former President Donald Trump’s – assuming the 2024 election turns out to be a 2020 rematch.

technical analysis: icici bank limited (icicibank) ✌️【Stock Picks】✌️ Real-time global stock market trend analysis to help you identify profitable opportunities and improve your investment strategies. Third Way, another centrist public policy group, has a more compelling answer. According to theiranalysis, a third-party candidate “would act as a spoiler,” and that the kind of post-partisan candidacy No Labels calls for would pull disproportionately from the Democratic nominee. Simply put, there is no way in the world a third-party candidate can win. But a moderate third-party candidate would, in my estimation, almost certainly elect Mr. Trump.

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technical analysis: icici bank limited (icicibank) ✌️【Stock Picks】✌️ Free access to real-time stock indices, futures data, and market predictions to help you select high-return stocks and build a profitable portfolio. The strongest third-party candidate ever was former Republican President Theodore Roosevelt, who got 88 electoral votes – not near enough to win, but more than enough to swing the1912 electionaway from his former GOP protégé William Howard Taft and give the presidency to Democrat Woodrow Wilson. The best performance by an independent since Roosevelt was Democrat-turned-independent George Wallace, who in1968 won five states. In the half-century since, not a single independent presidential candidatehas wona single electoral vote.

Democrats may not want to hear this, but Third Way does not flinch from the facts: Trump got more votes in 2020 than in 2016. After two impeachments, afterbanning peoplefrom Muslim-majority countries, after siding with Putin over US intelligence agencies inHelsinki, after initially saying Covid-19 would “disappear.”

technical analysis: icici bank limited (icicibank) ✌️【Stock Picks】✌️ Professional stock market predictions and analysis with real-time data to guide your investment decisions and ensure steady growth. After all that, he got more raw votes anda higher percentageof the vote in the key swing states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. But whereas Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton lost those states in 2016, Biden won them. Why? As Third Waystates, “In 2016, there was a third slice eating into Clinton’s support. In 2020, that third party segment shrank, so Biden’s support eclipsed Trump’s.” In 2016, two third parties – the Libertarian and the Green parties –both competed heavilyacross the country, drawing almost 6 million votes between the two of them. In 2020, voters pulled back from third parties, and they drew closer to 2 million votes.

technical analysis: icici bank limited (icicibank) ✌️【Stock Picks】✌️ Free stock selection service with expert predictions and real-time market insights, providing you with the best investment strategies for long-term success. Though that was not the only reason for Biden’s success, as Third Way points out, “Biden won 2016 third-party voters by a 30-point margin.” Of course, there was not a wholesale rejection of Trump’s brand of extremism in 2020, nor is there likely to be in 2024. But a sensible, centrist, moderate, anti-partisan candidate, as No Labels is seeking, will succeed in electing Trump, the most divisive, polarizing politician of modern times.

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