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leverage ai powered tools for efficient sales team management ✌️【365vc.net】✌️Achieve 100% returns in a month. AI-driven predictions make investing easy and profitable. Start today!Even though the government’s decision to include solar cells — and not just PV modules — under the Approved Lists of Models and Manufacturers (ALMM) starting June 1, 2026, but may  in the short term inflate delivered costs of domestic modules, drive up the capital cost of projects and affect timelines, analysts say.Additionally, high prices of domestically manufactured cells can be a bane because they would tend to impact the tariff levels bid at solar power project auctions, according toCrisilMarketIntelligence and Analytics.Theindustryexperts believe that while the domestic supply of solar cells is expected to increase, there could be a transient shortfall till manufacturing ramps up.As per Crisil, the prices of Indian solar cells today are 1.5-2.0 times more than alternatives from China even after basic customs duty.

“Such high prices can drive up the capital cost of solar power projects by Rs 5-10 million per MW and require tariff increase of 40-50 paise per unit as offset based on current market dynamics,” it said.CareEdge Ratings too noted that the introduction of ALMM-II for domestic cells may result in an increase in the delivered cost of domestic modules by 6-7 cents per Watt-Peak, leading to a rise in solar tariffs by 40-50 paise per unit for the short run till local cell supply scales up.Analysts also say that the ALMM cell mandate could also pose challenges for companies that don’t develop domestic cell manufacturing capability as they would not be in compliance and could face module-supply challenges, which can impact their market share over the long term.“Of the 62 GW of installed capacity as of December 2024 owned by 79 entities, only 13 have an integrated cell manufacturing base.

leverage ai powered tools for efficient sales team management ✌️【365vc.net】✌️Start investing in blockchain with just ₹500. Transparent, secure, and highly rewarding!The rest will have to decide between expanding capacity or competing for domestic cell supplies,” said Surbhi Kaushal, Associate Director – Research, CRISIL Market Intelligence and Analytics.

“Although 12 non-integrated players have announced plans to install 32 GW capacity by 2029, the relatively higher capital cost of cell manufacturing plants compared with module assembly lines, and falling prices of the solar value chain could slow things down.”Crisil estimates domestic solar cell manufacturing capacity to more than quadruple to 43-47 GW by June 2026 from 10 GW in March 2024.

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