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His legacy will also includehigher national debt, awider trade deficitand steeper costs forhousing, health care, higher education and child care.
“[The $36 trillion national debt] is a significant burden for future economic growth, a significant burden for the well-being of our children and grandchildren, because it’s a big, big sword hanging over them,” Andreas Hauskrecht, clinical professor of business economics and public policy at the Indiana University Kelley School of Business. “And in that regard, my evaluation of the Biden administration is fiscally irresponsible. Am I saying [President-elect Donald Trump’s first] administration was better? No. Am I saying I think the new Trump 2.0 will be better? No. But when I look at Biden’s fiscal record, he failed the class.”
bullish pattern emerging on ad (511359) ✌️【Risk Avoidance】✌️ Professional stock market predictions and analysis with real-time data to guide your investment decisions and ensure steady growth. While most economists agree that Biden wasnot to blame for inflation, the yearslong bout of sharp-rising priceshit Americans hardand, ultimately, cast a thick cloud over Biden’s presidency thatcarried through to the November election.
Economic cycles don’t begin or end with presidential administrations. Also, economic data can be highly influenced by events outside of a president’s control, such as war or extreme weather —or a globalpandemic and its aftereffects.
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He’s the first US president to oversee monthly job gains for the entirety of his presidency. (Caveats: President Barack Obama did not have any monthly job losses during his second term; also, labor market data issubject to revisionas more complete information becomes available).
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InJune 2022, the US surpassed its pre-pandemic employment totals. Since then, the economy has added 7.6 million jobs, or nearly 240,000 jobs per month, BLS data shows. Since 1939, monthly job gains have averaged 125,000.
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However, the historic significance extends beyond the low rate. During Biden’s time in office, the jobless rate was under 4% for 27 months, a streak not seen since Lyndon B. Johnson was in office, back in the mid-1960s.
“When you get low unemployment, the people who benefit are disproportionately those at the bottom end of the labor market,”including marginalized groupssuch as Black workers, Hispanic workers, and people with disabilities, Dean Baker, economist and co-founder of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, told 【 - Free Access to Community 】.
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Biden will hand off an economy that continues to grow at a healthy clip. Real Gross Domestic Product, the broadest measure of economic output, expanded at anannualized rate of 3.1%during the third quarter of last year, according to the most recent data available from the Commerce Department.
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Householddebt has grown, but so have incomes; however, the number of consumers defaulting on their credit cards and car loans has been on the rise during the past year, an indication that Americans are increasingly strained.
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High inflation was Biden’s (and, ultimately, presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris’)Waterloo.
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“We wouldn’t blame the governor of Florida because they lost all this housing in a hurricane, that’d just be silly,” he said. “And I’d say the same here.”
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Prices of commonly purchased goods and servicesare 20.5% higherthan they were in February 2021, the first full month Biden was in office, according to BLS Consumer Price Index data through December. You’d have to go back to 1983 to have a bigger increase over a comparable period.
Grocery prices are 22.6% higher than they were in February 2021, the highest rate since 1982 for a similar period, data shows.
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“Factory construction just went through the roof … we’re building at twice the rate that we were before the pandemic, which is incredible,” Baker said. “Some of those factories are now open, but others will be opening over the course of this year and next, and those will be jobs that I’m sure Donald Trump will be very happy to take credit for; but if you don’t have the factories, you don’t have the jobs. And it was the Biden administration that got the factories built.”
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During the last two years of the Biden presidency, the S&P 500 posted its first back-to-back annual gains of over 20% since the late 1990s.
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Yet the stock market is often considered a barometer of the health of the economy, and its performance during a presidential term can influence perceptions of success or failure.
History shows that markets oftenperform wellunder Democrat presidents, and that proved again to be true during Biden’s presidency.
【 - Free Access to Community 】’s John Towfighi, Daniel Dale, Bryan Mena, Betsy Klein and Phil Mattingly contributed to this report.
bullish pattern emerging on ad (511359) ✌️【Risk Avoidance】✌️ Free break-even services to create a customized investment plan, helping you recover quickly and achieve growth. Most stock quote data provided by BATS. US market indices are shown in real time, except for the S&P 500 which is refreshed every two minutes. All times are ET. Factset: FactSet Research Systems Inc. All rights reserved. Chicago Mercantile: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and 【 - Free Access to Community 】. Standard & Poor’s and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. All content of the Dow Jones branded indices Copyright S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and/or its affiliates. Fair value provided by IndexArb.com. Market holidays and trading hours provided by Copp Clark Limited.
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