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Given its sway in Washington, D.C., as the world’s largest asset manager, this has generated a massive amount of optimism that a spot bitcoin ETF may not be far from reach.
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Grayscale said in April it expects to learn by the end of the third quarter whether it will beallowedto turn GBTC into an ETF.“The catalyst for the current narrowing of the GBTC discount could be the ongoing legal discussions around the possibility of GBTC converting to an ETF,” said Leinbewer.
“The market appears to be responding to these discussions and the anticipation of a potential legal victory for GBTC could be driving increased demand for the shares.
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“But this would simply send GBTC's ETF conversion request back to the SEC to either approve GBTC's conversion *OR* to deny for different reasons.
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It could happen with this wave of filings (we think Grayscale have a 50/50 shot at approval currently but it could also take years still if they're denied again).
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“Once converted to an ETF, GBTC would not trade at meaningful discounts or premiums anymore due the efficiencies of the ETF structure,” Seyffart said.Lyllah Ledesma is a CoinDesk Markets reporter currently based in Europe.
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