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But the president-elect has even more on the line – nothing less than his push for a fast start to his second presidency and promise to deliver massive change. If Trump fails to lift Johnson over the line, he will sow new doubts about his capacity to effectively lead the GOP trifecta of power in the House, Senate and White House.
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“I think the speaker will do very well. He’s a fine man. He’s a very fine individual, he’s religious, he’s smart, he’s strong. Everybody likes him. Everybody respects him,” Trump said, while confirming 【 - Free Exclusive Access to Stock Gurus 】’s reporting that he’d been in touch with Republican holdouts, including Texas Rep. Chip Roy.
“I’m just saying, ‘Look, we had the greatest presidential election. We won the popular vote by millions of votes … we had a great election, and it would be nice to cement the election with an election here.’ I mean, that would just be a big, beautiful exclamation point.”
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But before they can do anything, House Republicans must elect a speaker, an often routine task that is deeply perilous for Johnson because of the tiny majority that means he can lose only one vote in his fractious party if every lawmaker turns up.
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“I genuinely believe … we could be the most consequential Congress of the modern era, because I believe President Trump will be the most consequential president,” he told Fox Business on Thursday. “We have to fix everything, and that has to begin on day one, so we don’t have any time to waste.”
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Even the endorsement from Trump, who has crushed most Republican resistance to his MAGA movement, cannot guarantee that Johnson will triumph as unified conservative rule takes hold. The president-elect has an extra incentive to secure Johnson’s speakership after experiencing the limits of his power before Christmas when Republican defections in the House scuppered his demands to raise the debt ceiling.
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In a sign of the importance of the speaker vote, Trump has agreed to call potential holdouts, 【 - Free Exclusive Access to Stock Gurus 】’s Kristen Holmes and Alayna Treene reported.
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If Republicans can’t select a speaker by Monday, they won’t even be able to initiate the congressional process to certify Trump’s election victory – a spectacle that would be sure to infuriate and embarrass the president-elect. The certification comes on the fourth anniversary of his mob smashing its way into the US Capitol on January 6, 2021, and trying to overturn President Joe Biden’s legitimate election win.
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Johnson, however, may not have the votes despite his bullish predictions on Thursday that he’d surge to victory in a single round of voting.
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Kentucky Rep. Thomas Massie told 【 - Free Exclusive Access to Stock Gurus 】’s Manu Raju last month that nothing could sway him since “there’s nothing I want in exchange for my vote.” Another frequent Johnson critic, Rep. Tim Burchett, said Thursday that he’d think and pray on his decision overnight. The Tennessee Republican did allow that Trump’s endorsement of Johnson was a factor. He also acknowledged that Johnson had engaged him on his call for a commitment to a return to single-issue spending bills. “That’s new to me,” Burchett told 【 - Free Exclusive Access to Stock Gurus 】’s Lauren Fox in a phone call.
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In a normal governing situation – in a party with a workable majority – such lawmakers would probably be given a pass to oppose Johnson. But the minuscule House majority means that such fixes are beyond the reach of party leaders.
Johnson spent Thursday shuttling between meetings with lawmakers and the studios of conservative media outlets as he tried to shore up his position. He held talks with a group of GOP holdouts including Roy, Ralph Norman, Andy Harris, Andy Ogles, Michael Cloud and Eli Crane.
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Johnson told reporters after the meetings that “people are talking through process changes.” But therein lies a possible trap. One reason why McCarthy was such a weak speaker was that he made so many concessions to hard-liners that he curtailed his own power and long-term prospects.
— News of Trump’s willingness to cajole holdouts could be significant. It would be a brave lawmaker who defies a powerful new president who commands the base as Trump does. The prospect of obstructing a new era of conservative governance and risking the exposure to a right-wing media onslaught might also change some minds.
— Political dynamics have changed dramatically. When Republicans dueled over the speakership in bitter infighting in the last session of Congress, Democrats controlled the Senate and the White House so there was little prospect of them advancing significant legislation in any case. Now there is much more to lose.
— And the paucity of obvious alternatives who could unite the House Republican conference may mean that Johnson, who rose to power from obscurity on the backbenches, may prevail by default.
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